Closure Test

Fits for exclusive Yields, individual jet bins

Expected Yields

  W W 0b W 1b W 2b QCD top 0b top 1b top 2b Z 0b Z 1b Z 2b
0 jet 157040.0 157040.0 0.0 0.0 13707.0 18.6 0.0 0.0 7043.0 0.0 0.0
1 jet 18102.4 18032.4 70.0 0.0 4293.8 28.2 84.8 0.0 1074.9 17.2 0.0
2 jet 3300.5 3228.1 62.5 9.9 816.3 21.8 141.1 67.1 173.8 6.9 0.9
3 jet 556.3 536.4 15.4 4.5 145.6 10.4 111.7 156.9 32.0 1.4 0.3
4 jet 112.0 106.1 3.6 2.3 26.6 4.5 67.4 203.4 6.9 0.2 0.2

Fit Results

  Sig QCD ttbar1b ttbar2b OK fits
0jets 156969.144+\-150.236 13715.242+\-67.442 0.0+\-0.0 0.0+\-0.0 10
1jets 18206.802+\-44.058 4292.625+\-17.168 0.013+\-0.009 0.0+\-0.0 8
2jets 3262.476+\-42.113 813.472+\-36.653 104.794+\-12.659 80.677+\-3.918 9
3jets 519.504+\-9.937 174.582+\-10.903 77.471+\-12.928 192.596+\-9.697 10
4jets 104.662+\-2.28 27.43+\-2.533 42.871+\-5.466 240.917+\-8.883 9

Simultaneous fit for exclusive jet bins

0 jet 1 jets 2 jets 3 jets 4 jets
156896.288+\-186.599 18212.871+\-59.78 3258.954+\-41.524 518.476+\-9.008 102.596+\-1.92 6

Simultaneous constrained fit

expected values from fit to the number of jets to signal MC ( no events with b-jets)
N_sigInc__total 9.7015e+04 +/- 3.11e+02 2.1903e+04 +/- 7.02+01
alphaR_sigInc_ 5.3639e+00 +/- 1.07e-01
betaR_sigInc_ 2.9938e-01 +/- 8.69e-02

fit results summary:

  N_sigInc_total alpha beta
mean +\- SD/SQRT(N) 22091.283+\-66.237 5.209+\-0.185 0.492+\-0.137
mean +\- SD 22091.283+\-162.247 5.209+\-0.452 0.492+\-0.335

details:

covQual status  shapesOK        N_sigInc__total alphaR_sigInc_  betaR_sigInc_
3       0       False   21760.72+\-167.15       5.94+\-0.3      -0.08+\-0.26
3       0       False   22146.31+\-169.81       4.77+\-0.36     0.8+\-0.33
3       0       True    21833.5+\-170.09        5.39+\-0.35     0.39+\-0.33
3       0       False   22493.99+\-168.5        5.14+\-0.29     0.41+\-0.26
3       0       True    22081.98+\-168.07       4.91+\-0.29     0.71+\-0.27
3       0       True    22251.02+\-167.9        4.52+\-0.38     1.02+\-0.37
3       0       True    22271.63+\-170.44       5.6+\-0.32      0.21+\-0.28
3       0       True    22101.57+\-168.21       5.73+\-0.32     0.11+\-0.29
3       0       True    22007.99+\-167.15       5.1+\-0.33      0.51+\-0.3
3       0       False   22130.3+\-168.82        4.57+\-0.41     1.08+\-0.4
mean    +\-SD/SQRT(N)   22091.283+\-66.237      5.209+\-0.185   0.492+\-0.137
mean    +\-SD   22091.283+\-162.247     5.209+\-0.452   0.492+\-0.335

Simultaneous constrained fit, expected values

from fit to the number of jets to signal MC ( no events with b-jets)

using matrix w/o PU

  total MC weighted
N_excl0 6.9356e+05 +/- 8.54e+02 1.56584e+05 +/- 1.92e+02
N_sigInc__total 9.9010e+04 +/- 3.68e+02 2.2353e+04 +/- 8.3e+01
alpha0_sigInc_ 4.8845e+00 +/- 1.09e-01  
alpha1_sigInc_ 4.5297e-01 +/- 8.59e-02  

using matrix w PU

  total MC weighted
N_excl0 6.92541e+05 +/- 8.56611e+02 1.56354e+05 +/- 1.9339
N_sigInc__total 1.00012e+05 +/- 3.76438e+02 2.2579e+04 +/ 8.49e+01
alpha0_sigInc_ 5.02871e+00 +/- 1.34569e-01  
alpha1_sigInc_ 3.16555e-01 +/- 1.04744e-01  

Simultaneous constrained fit with unfolding, fixing BKG yields to fit for exclusive yields:

matrix w/o PU

summary

  N_excl0 N_sigInc_total alpha beta
mean +\- SD/SQRT(N) 156480.755+\-150.507 22600.05+\-74.502 4.71+\-0.175 0.652+\-0.132
mean +\- SD 156480.755+\-475.945 22600.05+\-235.596 4.71+\-0.553 0.652+\-0.418

details:

covQual status  shapesOK        N_excl0 N_sigInc__total alpha0_sigInc_  alpha1_sigInc_  
3       0       True    156678.19+\-420.84      22740.22+\-189.58       3.99+\-0.39     1.19+\-0.35     
3       0       True    156927.22+\-421.4       22802.82+\-190.39       5.2+\-0.34      0.32+\-0.28     
3       0       True    157039.26+\-421.48      22615.64+\-189.7        4.04+\-0.42     1.25+\-0.37     
3       0       True    155810.73+\-419.86      22639.14+\-189.18       4.24+\-0.38     0.98+\-0.33     
3       0       True    156870.96+\-421.23      23022.65+\-189.89       4.71+\-0.2      0.51+\-0.17     
3       0       True    155945.91+\-420.09      22630.36+\-189.76       5.39+\-0.34     0.17+\-0.27     
3       0       True    156829.36+\-420.94      22459.64+\-188.93       4.55+\-0.36     0.72+\-0.3      
3       0       True    156673.21+\-420.93      22216.47+\-187.97       5.54+\-0.21     0.03+\-0.17     
3       0       True    155941.1+\-420.23       22573.4+\-189.44        4.43+\-0.38     0.86+\-0.32     
3       0       True    156091.62+\-420.29      22300.14+\-188.83       5.0+\-0.37      0.48+\-0.31     
mean    +\-SD/SQRT(N)   156480.755+\-150.507    22600.05+\-74.502       4.71+\-0.175    0.652+\-0.132   
mean    +\-SD   156480.755+\-475.945    22600.05+\-235.596      4.71+\-0.553    0.652+\-0.418   

matrix with PU

summary

  N_excl0 N_sigInc_total alpha beta
mean +\- SD/SQRT(N) 156245.971+\-150.277 22831.781+\-75.561 4.844+\-0.177 0.524+\-0.133
mean +\- SD 156245.971+\-475.217 22831.781+\-238.946 4.844+\-0.56 0.524+\-0.419

details

covQual status  shapesOK        N_excl0 N_sigInc__total alpha0_sigInc_  alpha1_sigInc_
3       0       True    155859.63+\-421.46      22527.82+\-192.93       5.14+\-0.37     0.35+\-0.31
3       0       True    156445.35+\-422.03      22970.37+\-193.68       4.11+\-0.4      1.06+\-0.35
3       0       True    155577.14+\-421.03      22868.76+\-193.27       4.37+\-0.38     0.86+\-0.33
3       0       True    155707.24+\-421.27      22869.5+\-193.9 5.54+\-0.34     0.04+\-0.27
3       0       True    156599.01+\-422.12      22685.82+\-193.01       4.69+\-0.36     0.59+\-0.3
3       0       True    156804.21+\-422.66      22843.35+\-193.8        4.18+\-0.42     1.12+\-0.37
3       0       True    156630.87+\-422.55      23259.56+\-194.55       4.83+\-0.33     0.39+\-0.27
3       0       True    155708.34+\-421.41      22804.01+\-193.55       4.56+\-0.38     0.73+\-0.32
3       0       True    156441.09+\-422.08      22445.18+\-192.03       5.68+\-0.21     -0.1+\-0.17
3       0       True    156686.83+\-422.43      23043.44+\-194.05       5.33+\-0.22     0.2+\-0.18
mean    +\-SD/SQRT(N)   156245.971+\-150.277    22831.781+\-75.561      4.844+\-0.177   0.524+\-0.133
mean    +\-SD   156245.971+\-475.217    22831.781+\-238.946     4.844+\-0.56    0.524+\-0.419

Simultaneous constrained fit with unfolding, floating all yields, starting the fit with the values from the fit with BKG yields fixed:

matrix w/o PU summary

  N_excl0 N_sigInc_total alpha beta
mean +\- SD/SQRT(N) 156481.466+\-150.698 22601.634+\-73.879 4.685+\-0.195 0.675+\-0.152
mean +\- SD 156481.466+\-476.548 22601.634+\-233.626 4.685+\-0.617 0.675+\-0.482

details

covQual status  shapesOK        N_excl0 N_sigInc__total alpha0_sigInc_  alpha1_sigInc_
3       0       True    155946.75+\-423.54      22631.95+\-197.23       5.39+\-0.23     0.17+\-0.19
3       0       True    156871.54+\-425.16      23023.95+\-197.86       4.7+\-0.22      0.52+\-0.2
3       0       True    156092.79+\-424.14      22309.13+\-199.56       4.99+\-0.43     0.48+\-0.38
3       0       True    155940.86+\-424.0       22575.34+\-197.28       4.43+\-0.44     0.86+\-0.4
3       0       True    155809.51+\-423.46      22645.42+\-199.65       4.24+\-0.44     0.99+\-0.39
3       0       True    156681.79+\-424.27      22735.87+\-196.33       3.83+\-0.24     1.34+\-0.22
3       0       True    156671.0+\-424.93       22220.73+\-196.19       5.62+\-0.36     -0.04+\-0.3
3       0       True    157041.07+\-425.24      22606.22+\-200.28       3.87+\-0.53     1.41+\-0.49
3       0       True    156831.65+\-424.3       22462.71+\-195.65       4.55+\-0.23     0.72+\-0.2
3       0       True    156927.7+\-424.97       22805.01+\-198.32       5.22+\-0.23     0.3+\-0.19
mean    +\-SD/SQRT(N)   156481.466+\-150.698    22601.634+\-73.879      4.685+\-0.195   0.675+\-0.152
mean    +\-SD   156481.466+\-476.548    22601.634+\-233.626     4.685+\-0.617   0.675+\-0.482

matrix with PU

summary

mean +\- SD/SQRT(N) 156246.509+\-150.617 22832.509+\-74.883 4.815+\-0.198 0.55+\-0.154
mean +\- SD 156246.509+\-476.292 22832.509+\-236.8 4.815+\-0.627 0.55+\-0.487

details

covQual status  shapesOK        N_excl0 N_sigInc__total alpha0_sigInc_  alpha1_sigInc_
3       0       True    156631.64+\-426.49      23261.4+\-202.12        4.83+\-0.39     0.39+\-0.34
3       0       True    156808.17+\-426.45      22833.77+\-204.46       3.99+\-0.53     1.3+\-0.5
3       0       True    155861.52+\-425.35      22535.94+\-203.76       5.13+\-0.43     0.35+\-0.38
3       0       True    156448.41+\-425.46      22964.64+\-200.43       3.94+\-0.24     1.23+\-0.22
3       0       True    155575.61+\-424.67      22875.04+\-203.87       4.36+\-0.44     0.86+\-0.39
3       0       True    155706.65+\-424.72      22866.57+\-201.37       5.53+\-0.23     0.04+\-0.19
3       0       True    156601.65+\-425.48      22689.89+\-199.75       4.69+\-0.23     0.59+\-0.2
3       0       True    155706.8+\-425.2        22805.52+\-201.44       4.56+\-0.44     0.73+\-0.4
3       0       True    156685.76+\-426.16      23043.11+\-202.5        5.36+\-0.23     0.18+\-0.19
3       0       True    156438.88+\-425.95      22449.21+\-199.93       5.76+\-0.22     -0.17+\-0.18
mean    +\-SD/SQRT(N)   156246.509+\-150.617    22832.509+\-74.883      4.815+\-0.198   0.55+\-0.154
mean    +\-SD   156246.509+\-476.292    22832.509+\-236.8       4.815+\-0.627   0.55+\-0.487

-- LukasVanelderen - 23-Feb-2011

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Topic revision: r9 - 2011-02-25 - LukasVanelderen
 
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