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* Set DISABLEDPLUGINS = LatexModePlugin * Set LATEXFONTSIZE = footnotesize -- Main.AlexanderFedotov - 04-Dec-2009 <center> | <h1> Sample Statistics </h1> | </center> %TOC{ title = "Sections:" }% ---++ 1 Population quantities Let %$ x $% have a probability density function %$ P(x) $% ---+++ 1.1 Moments = Raw Moments = Crude Moments. Mean. A _raw moment_ %$ \mu'_n $% (or just a _moment_, or a _crude moment_ ) is a moment taken about 0 ![[[#ReF1][1]]] : <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \displaystyle \mu'_n = \langle x^n \rangle= \int x^n P(x) dx & \qquad (1.1.1) \end{array} </latex></center> By definition, _the first moment_ is the _mean_ of the distribution, %$ \mu $%, %\[ \mu = \langle x \rangle = \mu'_1 \quad . \qquad (1.1.2) \]% ---+++ 1.2 Central moments. Variance. Relations with the raw moments A _central moment_ %$ \mu _n $% is a moment taken about the _mean_ %$ \mu = \mu' _1 $% ![[[#ReF2][2]]] : <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \displaystyle \mu_n = \langle (x - \mu)^n \rangle= \int (x - \mu)^n P(x) \ dx \quad . & \qquad (1.2.1) \end{array} </latex></center> By definition the second central moment %$ \mu_2 $% is the _variance_ which is usually denoted as %$ \sigma^2 $% ![[[#ReF10][10]]]: %\[ \sigma^2 \equiv \mu_2 \qquad . \qquad (1.2.2) \]% The square root of the variance is called ![[[#ReF10][10]]] the _standard deviation_ : %\[ \sigma \equiv \sqrt{\sigma^2} \qquad . \qquad (1.2.3) \]% The _central_ moments are expressed via the _raw_ moments using _binomial transform_ ![[[#ReF2][2]]] : <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \displaystyle \mu_n = \sum_{k=0}^n \binom{n}{k} (-1)^{n-k} \mu'_k \, \mu'_1{}^{n-k} \quad . & \qquad(1.2.4) \end{array} </latex></center> In particular: <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \mu_1 = 0 & (1.2.4a) \\ \mu_2 = -\mu'_1{}^2 + \mu'_2 & (1.2.4b) \\ \mu_3 = 2 \mu'_1{}^3 - 3 \mu'_1 \mu'_2 + \mu'_3 & (1.2.4c) \\ \mu_4 = -3 \mu'_1{}^4 + 6 \mu'_1{}^2 \mu'_2 - 4 \mu'_1 \mu'_3 + \mu'_4 & \qquad (1.2.4d) \end{array} </latex></center> The _raw_ moments are expressed via the _central_ moments using _inverse binomial transform_ ![[[#ReF1][1]]] (note %$ \mu_0 = 1 $% and %$ \mu_1 = 0 $% ): <center><latex> \mu'_n = \sum_{k=0}^n \binom{n}{k} \mu_k \, \mu'_1{}^{n-k} \quad . \qquad(1.2.5) </latex></center> In particular: <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \mu'_1 = \mu'_1 &\text{ (an identity)} \\ \mu'_2 = \mu_2{} + \mu'_1{}^2 & (1.2.5b) \\ \mu'_3 = \mu_3 + 3 \mu_2 \mu'_1 + \mu'_1{}^3 & (1.2.5c) \\ \mu'_4 = \mu_4 + 4 \mu_3 \mu'_1 + 6 \mu_2 \mu'_1{}^2 + \mu'_1{}^4 &\qquad (1.2.5d) \end{array} </latex></center> ---+++ 1.3 Cumulants and their expressions via moments The _characteristic function_ %$ \phi(t) $% associated with the _probability density function_ %$ P(x) $% is defined as a _Fourier transform_ ![[[#ReF3][3]]] : %\[ \phi(t) = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} e^{itx} P(x) dx \quad . \qquad(1.3.1) \]% The cumulants %$ \kappa_n $% are then defined by %\[ \ln \phi(t) \equiv \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \kappa_n \frac{(it)^n}{n!} \quad . \qquad(1.3.2) \]% They can be expressed through _raw moments_ %$ \mu'_n $%: <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \kappa_1 = \mu'_1 & (1.3.3a) \\ \kappa_2 = \mu'_2 - \mu'_1{}^2 & (1.3.3b) \\ \kappa_3 = 2\mu'_1{}^3 - 3 \mu'_1 \mu'_2 + \mu'_3 & (1.3.3c) \\ \kappa_4 = -6 \mu'_1{}^4 + 12 \mu'_1{}^2 \mu'_2 - 3 \mu'_2{}^2 -4 \mu'_1 \mu'_3 + \mu'_4 & \qquad (1.3.3d) \\ \ldots & \\ \end{array} </latex></center> or in terms of _central moments_ %$ \mu_n $% : <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \kappa_1 = \mu & (1.3.4a) \\ \kappa_2 = \mu_2 & (1.3.4b) \\ \kappa_3 = \mu_3 & (1.3.4c) \\ \kappa_4 = \mu_4 - 3 \mu_2{}^2 & \qquad (1.3.4d) \\ \ldots \\ \end{array} </latex></center> where %$ \mu $% is the _mean_ and %$ \sigma^2 \equiv \mu_2 $% is the _variance_. ---++ 2 Sample quantities A _sample_ is a subset of a population ![[[#ReF4][4]]] %\[ x_1, ... , x_N \]% where %$ N $% is the size of the sample. ---+++ 2.1 Power sums _Power sum_ is the sum of %$p$%th powers of the sample elements: %\[ S_p = \sum_{i=1}^N x_i^p \quad . \qquad (2.1.1) \]% ---+++ 2.2 Sample raw moments The %$ r $%th _sample raw moment_ %$ m'_r $% is defined as ![[[#ReF5][5]]] %\[ m'_r = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N x_i^r \quad . \qquad (2.2.1) \]% They are related to the _power sums_ (2.1.1) by %\[ m'_r = \frac{S_r}{N} \quad . \qquad (2.2.2) \]% They are unbiased estimators of the population _raw moments_ (1.1.1) : %\[ \langle m'_r \rangle = \mu'_r \quad . \qquad (2.2.3) \]% ---+++ 2.3 Sample mean The _sample mean_ ![[[#ReF6][6]]] is defined by %\[ m = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N x_i \quad . \qquad (2.3.1) \]% It is equal to the sample _first moment_ (2.2.1), %\[ m = m'_1 \quad . \qquad (2.3.1) \]% It is an unbiased estimator for the population mean %$ \mu $% (1.1.2) ---+++ 2.4 Sample central moments The %$ r $%th _sample central moment_ %$ m_r $% is defined as ![[[#ReF7][7]]] %\[ m_r = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N (x_i - m )^r \quad . \qquad (2.4.1) \]% where %$ m = m'_1 $% is the sample _mean_ . The first few sample central moments are related to power sums %$ S_k $% by <center><latex size="normalsize"> \begin{array}{lr} m_1 = 0 & (2.4.2a) \\ \\ m_2 = -\frac{S_1^2}{N^2} + \frac{S_2}{N} & (2.4.2b) \\ \\ m_3 = \frac{2 S_1^3}{N^3} - \frac{3 S_1 S_2}{N^2} + \frac{S_3}{N} & (2.4.2c) \\ \\ m_4 = -\frac{3 S_1^4}{N^4} + \frac{6 S_1^2 S_2}{N^3} - \frac{4 S_1 S_3}{N^2} + \frac{S_4}{N} & \qquad (2.4.2d) \\ \ldots \\ \end{array} </latex></center> In terms of the population central moments, the expectation values of the first few sample central moments are <center><latex size="normalsize"> \begin{array}{lr} \\ \langle m_2 \rangle = \frac{ (N-1) }{N} \mu_2 & (2.4.3b) \\ \\ \langle m_3 \rangle = \frac{ (N-1)(N-2) }{N^2} \mu_3 & (2.4.3c) \\ \\ \langle m_4 \rangle = \frac{ (N-1)}{N^3} [3(2N-3) \mu_2^2 +(N^2-3N+3) \mu_4 ] & \qquad (2.4.3d) \\ \ldots \\ \end{array} </latex></center> ---+++ 2.5 k-Statistics The %$ n $%th _k-statistic_ %$ k_n $% is ![[[#ReF8][8]]] the unique symmetric unbiased estimator of the cumulant %$ \kappa_n $% (see. e.g. eq.(1.3.4)), i.e., %$ k_n $% is defined so that %\[ \langle k_n \rangle = \kappa_n \qquad . \qquad (2.5.1) \]% In addition, the variance %\[ var(k_n) = \langle (k_n - \kappa_n)^2 \rangle \qquad (2.5.2) \]% is a minimum compared to all other unbiased estimators of %$ \kappa_n $%. The k-statistics can be given in terms of the power sums (2.1.1) <center><latex> \begin{array}{llr} k_1 = & \frac{1}{N} S_1 & (2.5.3a) \\ \\ k_2 = & \frac{1}{N(N-1)} [NS_2 - S_1^2] & (2.5.3b) \\ \\ k_3 = & \frac{1}{N(N-1)(N-2)} [2S_1^3 -3 N S_1 S_2 + N^2 S_3 ] & (2.5.3c) \\ \\ k_4 = & \frac{1}{N(N-1)(N-2)(N-3)} [-6 N_1^4 + 12 N S_1^2 S_2^2 & \\ \\ & \quad - 3 N(N-1)S_2^2 -4N(N+1)S_1 S_3 + N^2(N+1)S_4] & \qquad (2.5.3d) \\ \ldots \\ \end{array} </latex></center> Alternatively, they can be expressed via the sample mean %$ m $% (2.3.1) and central moments %$ m_i $% (2.4.1) by <center><latex size = "normalsize"> \begin{array}{lr} k_1 = m & (2.5.4a) \\ \\ k_2 = \frac{N}{N-1} m_2 & (2.5.4b) \\ \\ k_3 = \frac{N^2}{(N-1)(N-2)} m_3 & (2.5.4c) \\ \\ k_4 = \frac{N^2}{(N-1)(N-2)(N-3)}[(N+1) m_4 - 3(N-1) m_2^2] & \qquad (2.5.4d) \\ \ldots \\ \end{array} </latex></center> Since the %$ k_i $% is defined to be an unbiased estimator for the %$ \kappa_i $%, one has %$ \langle k_i \rangle = \kappa_i $%, and then eqs.(1.3.3) give for the _expectation values_ : <center><latex> \begin{array}{lr} \langle k_1 \rangle = \mu & (2.5.5a) \\ \langle k_2 \rangle = \mu_2 & (2.5.5b) \\ \langle k_3 \rangle = \mu_3 & (2.5.5c) \\ \langle k_4 \rangle = \mu_4 - 3\mu_2^2 & \qquad (2.5.5d) \\ \ldots \\ \end{array} </latex></center> The variances of the first few k-statistics are given by <center><latex size = "normalsize"> \begin{array}{lr} \mathrm{var}(k_1) = \frac{\kappa_1}{N} & (2.5.6a) \\ \\ \mathrm{var}(k_2) = \frac{\kappa_4}{N} + \frac{2\kappa_2^2}{N-1} & (2.5.6b) \\ \\ \mathrm{var}(k_3) = \frac{\kappa_6}{N} +\frac{9(\kappa_2\kappa_4 + \kappa_3^2) }{N-1} + \frac{6N\kappa_2^3}{(N-1)(N-2)} & \qquad (2.5.6c) \\ \ldots \\ \end{array} </latex></center> An _unbiased estimator_ for %$ \mathrm{var}(k_2) $% is given by %\[ \hat{\mathrm{var}(k_2)} = \frac{2Nk_2^2 + (N-1) k_4}{N(N+1)} \qquad \qquad (2.5.7) \]% In the special case of a *normal* parent population, an _unbiased estimator_ for %$ \mathrm{var}(k_3) $% is given by %\[ \hat{ \mathrm{var}(k_3)} = \frac{6N(N-1)k_2^3}{(N-2)(N+1)(N+3)} \qquad \qquad (2.5.8) \]% ---+++ 2.6 Sample variance The sample variance is the second central moment %$ m_2 $% (2.4.1): %\[ m_2 \equiv \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N (x_i - m)^2 \qquad ,\qquad (2.6.1) \]% where %$ m $% is the sample mean (2.3.1) . It is commonly written as ![[[#ReF9][9]]] %\[ s^2 \equiv m_2 \qquad ,\qquad (2.6.2) \]% or sometimes %\[ s_N^2 \equiv m_2 \qquad ,\qquad (2.6.2) \]% The square root of the sample variance is called the _sample standard deviation_ ![[[#ReF10][10]]] %\[ s_N \equiv \sqrt{ s_N^2} \qquad .\qquad (2.6.3) \]% Another widespread definition for the sample standard deviation is %\[ s_{N-1} \equiv \sqrt{ s_{N-1}^2} \qquad ,\qquad (2.6.4) \]% where %\[ s_{N-1}^2 \equiv \frac{1}{N-1} \sum_{i=1}^N (x_i - m)^2 = \frac{N}{N-1} s_N^2 =\frac{N}{N-1} m_2 \qquad .\qquad (2.6.5) \]% By definition the %$ s_{N-1}^2 $% statistic is an alternative name for the %$ k_2$% statistic defined above, see eq.(2.5.4b): %\[ s_{N-1}^2 = k_2 \qquad .\qquad (2.6.6) \]% According to eq.(2.4.3b), the expectation values for the variance and the %$ s_{N-1}^2 $% statistic are %\[ \langle s^2 \rangle = \langle m_2 \rangle = \frac{N-1}{N}\mu_2 \qquad ,\qquad (2.6.6) \]% %\[ \langle s_{N-1}^2 \rangle = \mu_2 \qquad .\qquad (2.6.7) \]% Surely, the eq.(2.6.7) agrees with the eq.(2.5.5b). The variances are (eq.(4) in ![[[#ReF11][11]]]) %\[ \mathbf{D}(s^2) = \frac{(N-1)^2}{N^3}\Big[\mu_4 - \frac{N-3}{N-1}\mu_2^2 \Big] \qquad ,\qquad (2.6.8)\]% <br> %\[ \mathbf{D}(s_{N-1}^2) = \frac{1}{N}\Big[\mu_4 - \frac{N-3}{N-1}\mu_2^2 \Big] \qquad .\qquad (2.6.9)\]% Eq.(23) in ![[[#ReF11][11]]] gives a usefull expression for the %$ \langle s^4 \rangle $% : %\[ \langle s^4 \rangle = \langle m_2^2 \rangle = \frac{N-1}{N^3}\Big[(N-1)\mu_4 + (N^2 - 2N + 3)\mu_2^2\Big] \qquad .\qquad (2.6.10)\]% ---+++ 2.7 Unbiased estimators for %$ \mu_i $% and %$ \mu_2^2 $% According to eq.(2.5.5a-c) the unbiased estimators for %$ \mu $%, %$ \mu_2 $% and %$ \mu_3 $% are given by %$ k_1 = m $%, %$ k_2 = s_{N-1}^2 $% and (see eq.(2.5.4c)) %$ k_3 $%, respectively. It is also important to have estimators for %$ \mu_4 $% and %$ \mu_2^2 $%. Eqs. (2.4.3d) and (2.6.10) can be combined into a matrix equation <center><latex> \left( \begin{array}{c} \langle m_4 \rangle \\ \\ \langle m_2^2 \rangle \end{array} \right) = \left( \begin{array}{ll} \frac{N-1}{N^3} (N^2-3N+3) & \frac{N-1}{N^3} 3(2N-3)\\ \\ \frac{N-1}{N^3} (N-1)& \frac{N-1}{N^3} (N^2-2N+3) \end{array} \right) \cdot \left( \begin{array}{c} \mu_4 \\ \\ \mu_2^2 \end{array} \right) \quad . \quad (2.7.1) </latex></center> Solving this system of equations relative to %$ \mu_4 $% and %$ \mu_2^2 $% gives %\[ \mu_4 = \frac{N \big[ (N^2-2N+3) \langle m_4 \rangle - 3(2N-3) \langle m_2^2 \rangle \big] }{(N-1)(N-2)(N-3)} \qquad , \qquad (2.7.2) \]% %\[ \mu_2^2 = \frac{N \big[ (N^2-3N+3) \langle m_2^2 \rangle - (N-1) \langle m_4 \rangle \big] }{(N-1)(N-2)(N-3)} \qquad . \qquad (2.7.3) \]% Removing the averaging brackets around %$ m_4 $% and %$ m_2^2 $% at the right hand side of the equations, one gets the estimators at the left hand side: %\[ \hat{ \mu_4 } = \frac{N \big[ (N^2-2N+3) m_4 - 3(2N-3) m_2^2 \big] }{(N-1)(N-2)(N-3)} \qquad , \qquad (2.7.4) \]% %\[ \hat{ \mu_2^2 } = \frac{N \big[ (N^2-3N+3) m_2^2 - (N-1) m_4 \big] }{(N-1)(N-2)(N-3)} \qquad . \qquad (2.7.5) \]% ---+++ 2.8 Unbiased estimator for %$ \mathbf{D}(s_{N-1}^2) $% Replacing %$ \mu_4 $% and %$ \mu_2^2 $% in the expression (2.6.9) for %$ \mathbf{D}(s_{N-1}^2) $% by their estimators (2.7.4-5), gives the estimator for %$ \mathbf{D}(s_{N-1}^2) $%: %\[ \mathbf{Est} \big[ \mathbf{D}(s_{N-1}^2) \big] = \frac{N \big[ (N-1)^2 m_4- (N^2-3)m_2^2 \big] }{(N-1)^2(N-2)(N-3)} \qquad . \qquad (2.8.1) \]% As %$ S_{N-1}^2 = k_2 $%, eq.(2.6.6), the same result (2.8.1) can be obtained using formula (2.5.7) by plugging into it the expressions (2.5.4b,c) for %$ k_2,\ k_4 $%. ---++ References #ReF1 [1] Weisstein, Eric W. "Raw Moment." From *MathWorld--A Wolfram Web Resource*. http://mathworld.wolfram.com/RawMoment.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.RawMoment.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF2 [2] Weisstein, Eric W. "Central Moment." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/CentralMoment.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.CentralMoment.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF3 [3] Weisstein, Eric W. "Cumulant." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Cumulant.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.Cumulant.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF4 [4] Weisstein, Eric W. "Sample." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Sample.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.Sample.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF5 [5] Weisstein, Eric W. "Sample Raw Moment." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SampleRawMoment.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.SampleRawMoment.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF6 [6] Weisstein, Eric W. "Sample Mean." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SampleMean.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.SampleMean.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF7 [7] Weisstein, Eric W. "Sample Central Moment." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SampleCentralMoment.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.SampleCentralMoment.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF8 [8] Weisstein, Eric W. "k-Statistic." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/k-Statistic.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.k-Statistic.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF9 [9] Weisstein, Eric W. "Sample Variance." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SampleVariance.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.SampleVariance.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF10 [10] Weisstein, Eric W. "Standard Deviation." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/StandardDeviation.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.StandardDeviation.pdf ][pdf]] #ReF11 [11] Weisstein, Eric W. "Sample Variance Distribution." http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SampleVarianceDistribution.html , [[%ATTACHURL%/WMathWorld.SampleVarianceDistribution.pdf ][pdf]]
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